Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Saintswatch - 1 to go - UPDATE

We're mathematically safe! Wigan's defeat at Arsenal last night condemned them to relegation.

The question now is, where will we finish?

If Saints beat Stoke, we will end on 43 points with a goal difference of -10 at worst

The highest we can finish is 10th and this would require
a Us to win
b West Ham to lose (at home to Reading - probably not)
c Norwich and Newcastle to fail to win (away to Man City and home to Arsenal - likely)
d Fulham to win by no more than one goal than us. Our goal difference is just 2 better than Fulham and we have scored just one more goal (at Swansea - possibly but not likely)

The lowest we can finish is 17th and this would require
a Us to lose
b Sunderland to win or get a score draw (at Tottenham - unlikely)
c Fulham to draw or lose by fewer goals, the exact equation depending on goals scored
d Villa (against Wigan) to avoid defeat

a Us to draw
b Sunderland, Fulham and Villa to win

The truth will probably be somewhere inbetween!


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